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No news is not good news : evidence from the intra-day return volatility-volume relationship in Shanghai Stock Exchange

机译:没有消息就不是好消息:来自上海证券交易所当日收益波动率-交易量关系的证据

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摘要

Through this research, we find that the asymmetric volatility phenomenon is reversed in the Shanghai Stock Exchange during bull markets. That is, volatility increases more with good news than with bad news. This evidence is inconsistent with the US markets. Further examination of this phenomenon reveals that the positive impact of good news on volatility is driven by the return-chasing behaviour of investors during bull markets. We also find that volatility increases after stock price declines in bear markets. After controlling for liquidity shifts, we observe similar patterns in volatility in both bull and bear markets. We posit that institutional and behavioural factors are the major driving forces of observed volatility patterns in the Chinese stock market.
机译:通过这项研究,我们发现在牛市期间,上海证券交易所的非对称波动现象得到了扭转。就是说,好消息带来的波动要大于坏消息带来的波动。此证据与美国市场不一致。对这一现象的进一步研究表明,好消息对波动率的积极影响是由牛市期间投资者的追回收益行为所驱动的。我们还发现,在熊市股价下跌之后,波动性增加。在控制了流动性变动之后,我们在牛市和熊市都观察到了相似的波动率模式。我们认为,制度因素和行为因素是中国股市中观察到的波动率模式的主要驱动力。

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